<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><channel><title>North Slope Borough School District - EdTribune AK - Alaska Education Data</title><description>Education data coverage for North Slope Borough School District. Data-driven education journalism for Alaska. Every number verified against state DOE data.</description><link>https://ak.edtribune.com/</link><language>en-us</language><copyright>EdTribune 2026</copyright><item><title>Half of Alaska&apos;s Districts Hit Record Lows</title><link>https://ak.edtribune.com/ak/2026-03-16-ak-half-at-all-time-low/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://ak.edtribune.com/ak/2026-03-16-ak-half-at-all-time-low/</guid><description>In Sleetmute, a village of 80 people on the Kuskokwim River, an architect declared the school building unsafe for occupancy in 2021. The foundation had deteriorated to rubble. The Kuspuk School Distri...</description><pubDate>Mon, 16 Mar 2026 12:00:00 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded>&lt;p&gt;In Sleetmute, a village of 80 people on the Kuskokwim River, an architect declared the school building unsafe for occupancy in 2021. The foundation had deteriorated to rubble. The &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/kuspuk&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Kuspuk&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; School District had been requesting roof repairs since 2005. The estimated cost rose from $411,000 to &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.npr.org/2025/03/04/g-s1-51095/rural-schools-in-alaska-are-crumbling-the-state-is-the-likely-culprit&quot;&gt;$1.6 million over 17 years of waiting&lt;/a&gt;. Half the building is now closed.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Kuspuk is one of 29 Alaska school districts currently at their lowest enrollment ever recorded. The district enrolled 272 students in 2025-26, down 26.1% from its peak of 368. It is not alone. Half of Alaska&apos;s districts are now at record lows, and the list includes the state&apos;s largest: &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/anchorage&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Anchorage&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; at 40,688, &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/fairbanks-north-star&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Fairbanks North Star&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; at 11,122, &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/juneau&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Juneau&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; at 3,809, and &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/lower-kuskokwim&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Lower Kuskokwim&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; at 3,666.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The districts at their smallest enrollment hold 75,676 students, 60.4% of Alaska&apos;s total. More than half the state&apos;s public school students attend a district that has never been smaller.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Ten districts fell to new lows this year&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The 2026 count did not just confirm existing declines. It created new ones. Ten districts dropped to all-time lows for the first time this year, including Anchorage and Fairbanks, the state&apos;s two largest traditional districts.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-16-ak-half-at-all-time-low-districts.png&quot; alt=&quot;Most large Alaska districts at record-low enrollment in 2025-26&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Anchorage fell to 40,688 students, 10.0% below its seven-year peak of 45,218. That decline, 4,530 students, exceeds the entire state&apos;s net loss of 3,272 over the same period. Fairbanks dropped to 11,122, down 15.4% from its 2020 level of 13,139. In February 2025, the Fairbanks school board &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskawatchman.com/2025/02/05/fairbanks-votes-to-close-3-of-5-schools-that-were-on-chopping-block/&quot;&gt;voted to close three elementary schools&lt;/a&gt;: Midnight Sun, Pearl Creek, and Two Rivers. Students in Two Rivers now bus over 30 miles into Fairbanks.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The smaller districts on the newly-at-low list paint a geography of retreat. &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/craig&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Craig&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; on Prince of Wales Island: 550 students, down 37.1% from 874. Valdez: 527, down 23.2%. Hoonah: 104, down 17.5%. &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/hydaburg&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Hydaburg&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, a Haida village of 300 people on the southern tip of Prince of Wales Island, enrolled 62 students, down 63.3% from 169.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;The other half&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A handful of districts are at all-time highs, but the composition tells its own story.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/matanuskasusitna&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Matanuska-Susitna Borough&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, the only large traditional district growing, enrolled 19,903 students in its post-2024 configuration. Mat-Su Borough &lt;a href=&quot;https://helialaskainc.com/2025/05/exploring-the-population-in-alaska-trends-and-insights-for-2025/&quot;&gt;surpassed 100,000 residents&lt;/a&gt; in 2024, growing at 3.4% annually while the state grew at 1.2%. It is the release valve for Anchorage families priced out or pushed out. But even Mat-Su&apos;s superintendent, Randy Trani, told Alaska Public Media that the district faces a &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/alaska-legislature/2026-03-19/why-alaska-school-districts-are-still-facing-deep-cuts-after-last-years-funding-increase&quot;&gt;$22.5 million budget shortfall&lt;/a&gt;, and is planning three school closures of its own.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;$700,000 in a budget of more than a quarter of a billion is essentially flat funding, and flat funding is a cut.&quot;
— &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/alaska-legislature/2026-03-19/why-alaska-school-districts-are-still-facing-deep-cuts-after-last-years-funding-increase&quot;&gt;Randy Trani, Mat-Su Superintendent, Alaska Public Media, March 2026&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nenana City School District, home to the CyberLynx correspondence program, hit a record 2,231 students, up 58.1% since 2020. Several small traditional districts, including Delta/Greely (1,007), Petersburg (473), and Kake (112), also reached highs. These are genuine bright spots, though all three combined hold fewer students than Anchorage lost in a single year.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-16-ak-half-at-all-time-low-divergence.png&quot; alt=&quot;Correspondence enrollment surged while traditional districts declined&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;What is driving this&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The most direct driver is demographic. Alaska is in its &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/economy/2026-01-30/alaska-population-rises-slightly-but-more-people-continue-to-move-out-than-move-in&quot;&gt;13th consecutive year of negative net migration&lt;/a&gt;, the longest such streak since 1945. Between 2024 and 2025, 1,740 more people left the state than arrived. The school-age population is shrinking while the over-65 population grew 3.2% in a single year. The child population (birth to 17) &lt;a href=&quot;https://labor.alaska.gov/news/2026/news26-2.htm&quot;&gt;shrank 0.8% in a single year&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The strain is concentrated in Southeast Alaska, where &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.ktoo.org/2024/12/04/report-southeast-alaska-is-projected-to-lose-a-fifth-of-its-population-by-2050/&quot;&gt;population is projected to drop 17% by 2050&lt;/a&gt;, a loss equal to the populations of Sitka and Wrangell combined. Housing costs are the primary barrier. &quot;The price of a home and the cost of being here is just too much of a challenge&quot; for young families, Southeast Conference economic development leader Brian Holst &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.ktoo.org/2024/12/04/report-southeast-alaska-is-projected-to-lose-a-fifth-of-its-population-by-2050/&quot;&gt;told KTOO&lt;/a&gt;. In Juneau, the over-60 population now outnumbers those under 20.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A second factor is student migration within the state. Approximately &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/education/2025-01-27/districts-across-alaska-are-considering-closing-schools&quot;&gt;10,000 students have shifted from neighborhood schools to correspondence programs&lt;/a&gt;, funding that follows them out of traditional districts. This transfer does not reduce statewide enrollment, but it hollows out the brick-and-mortar system: Fairbanks board member Brandy Harty &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/education/2025-01-27/districts-across-alaska-are-considering-closing-schools&quot;&gt;told Alaska Public Media&lt;/a&gt; that &quot;the problem isn&apos;t at our school board, it&apos;s in Juneau, with funding.&quot;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-16-ak-half-at-all-time-low-trend.png&quot; alt=&quot;Alaska&apos;s four largest traditional districts, all declining since 2020&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Record lows in every size category&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The pattern is not confined to small rural districts or large urban ones. Record lows appear across every size category. Nine of 14 mid-sized districts (1,000 to 4,999 students) are at their lowest ever, a 64.3% rate higher than any other size bucket. The list includes &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/ketchikan-gateway&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Ketchikan Gateway&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; (1,871, down 14.9%), &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/north-slope&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;North Slope Borough&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; (1,610, down 17.5%), and Northwest Arctic Borough (1,756, down 10.0%).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-16-ak-half-at-all-time-low-sizes.png&quot; alt=&quot;Record lows appear across every district size category&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Thirty-two of Alaska&apos;s districts enroll fewer than 500 students. Eight enroll fewer than 100. These micro-districts face an arithmetic that larger systems do not: losing 15 students can mean losing a teacher, a program, or a building. Kuspuk illustrates the bind. The district relies entirely on state funding as a Regional Education Attendance Area with no local tax base. Its superintendent, Madeline Aguillard, told NPR the district spent &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.npr.org/2025/03/04/g-s1-51095/rural-schools-in-alaska-are-crumbling-the-state-is-the-likely-culprit&quot;&gt;over $200,000 since 2021&lt;/a&gt; just strengthening capital funding applications, plus tens of thousands more on a lobbyist, to compete for repairs that never came.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;These bright young children show up every morning to go to school in a building that&apos;s not fit for even anything but being ready to be demolished.&quot;
— &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.npr.org/2025/03/04/g-s1-51095/rural-schools-in-alaska-are-crumbling-the-state-is-the-likely-culprit&quot;&gt;House Speaker Bryce Edgmon, NPR, March 2025&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;The lawsuit and the ledger&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In January 2026, Fairbanks North Star and Kuspuk filed suit against the state, &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/education/2026/01/20/in-lawsuit-2-school-districts-say-alaska-fails-to-meet-its-constitutional-obligation-on-public-education/&quot;&gt;alleging that Alaska has failed to meet its constitutional obligation&lt;/a&gt; to provide adequate public education funding. The Base Student Allocation, Alaska&apos;s primary per-pupil funding mechanism, has &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/education/2026/01/20/in-lawsuit-2-school-districts-say-alaska-fails-to-meet-its-constitutional-obligation-on-public-education/&quot;&gt;increased just 2.2% since 2015&lt;/a&gt; while inflation rose 37% over the same period. Last year&apos;s celebrated $700 increase actually netted &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/alaska-legislature/2026-03-19/why-alaska-school-districts-are-still-facing-deep-cuts-after-last-years-funding-increase&quot;&gt;only $20 more per student&lt;/a&gt; than the one-time funding districts received the year before.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nearly &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/politics/alaska-legislature/2026-03-19/why-alaska-school-districts-are-still-facing-deep-cuts-after-last-years-funding-increase&quot;&gt;80% of Alaska school districts are facing deficits&lt;/a&gt;, according to an Alaska Council of School Administrators survey. Anchorage is cutting 389 positions to close a $90 million gap. Fairbanks has closed seven schools in five years. Kodiak needs $1 million in cuts. Mat-Su is planning three closures despite being the only large district adding students.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-16-ak-half-at-all-time-low-yoy.png&quot; alt=&quot;Three consecutive years of statewide enrollment decline&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Enrollment decline and underfunding are separate problems, but they compound. A district losing students loses per-pupil revenue, but fixed costs for heating, maintenance, and transportation do not shrink proportionally. In rural Alaska, where buildings serve as community centers, storm shelters, and the only indoor gathering space for miles, closing a school has consequences the funding formula does not measure.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Alaska&apos;s state enrollment stands at 125,317, down 2.5% from its 2020 peak of 128,589. The state DEED &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.webcenterfairbanks.com/2026/02/06/alaska-schools-projected-lose-1500-students-state-says/&quot;&gt;projects another 1,500-student decline&lt;/a&gt; next year. The question is how many of the districts still above their record lows will join the other half.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Detailed code that reproduces the analysis and figures in this article is available exclusively to EdTribune subscribers.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
</content:encoded></item><item><title>Alaska Loses One in 11 Native Students in Seven Years</title><link>https://ak.edtribune.com/ak/2026-03-02-ak-native-enrollment-decline/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://ak.edtribune.com/ak/2026-03-02-ak-native-enrollment-decline/</guid><description>The Lower Kuskokwim School District stretches across 22 Yup&apos;ik villages in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, a roadless expanse of tundra the size of West Virginia. Seven years ago, 4,047 students attended i...</description><pubDate>Mon, 02 Mar 2026 12:00:00 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded>&lt;p&gt;The &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/lower-kuskokwim&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Lower Kuskokwim School District&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt; stretches across 22 Yup&apos;ik villages in the Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta, a roadless expanse of tundra the size of West Virginia. Seven years ago, 4,047 students attended its schools. Today, 381 of them are gone.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Lower Kuskokwim is not an outlier. It is the center of a pattern visible across nearly every majority-Native district in Alaska: enrollment in steady, compounding decline. Statewide, Alaska Native and American Indian students fell from 29,042 in 2019-20 to 26,356 in 2025-26, a loss of 2,686 students, or 9.2%. That single demographic group accounts for 82% of Alaska&apos;s total enrollment decline over the same period, even though Native students make up just 21% of the state&apos;s student body.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-02-ak-native-enrollment-decline-trend.png&quot; alt=&quot;Alaska Native enrollment trend, 2020-2026&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;The weight of one group&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Alaska has the highest proportion of Native American students of any state. At 21.0% of enrollment, the group is more than four times the national average. That concentration means what happens in rural Native districts does not stay local. It reshapes the state&apos;s enrollment picture.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The 2,686-student decline is the second-largest absolute loss of any racial group, behind white students, who lost 3,360 over the same period. But the Native decline rate of 9.2% is nearly double the white decline rate of 5.4%. And it is accelerating: the 2020-21 drop of 1,538 students was heavily pandemic-influenced, but after three years of relative stability (2021-24 lost fewer than 270 combined), the pace picked up again. The 2024-25 and 2025-26 school years each lost more than 430 Native students.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-02-ak-native-enrollment-decline-race.png&quot; alt=&quot;Enrollment change by race, 2020-2026&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Of Alaska&apos;s 39 districts with Native students in both 2020 and 2026, 29 lost ground. Only 10 gained. The geography of the losses maps onto the state&apos;s most remote regions: the North Slope, the Y-K Delta, the Seward Peninsula, the Northwest Arctic coast.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Four districts, half the loss&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Four rural districts account for roughly half the statewide Native enrollment decline.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/north-slope&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;North Slope Borough School District&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, home to Utqiagvik and eight smaller Inupiat villages, lost 414 Native students, a 24.9% decline, the steepest rate of any major district. Total enrollment in the district fell from 1,944 to 1,610, a 17.2% drop.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Lower Kuskokwim, the largest predominantly Native district in the state at 3,666 students, lost 357 Native students, 9.2%. The &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/northwest-arctic&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Northwest Arctic Borough School District&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, centered on Kotzebue and 10 surrounding villages, lost 327 (-16.9%). The &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/bering-strait&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Bering Strait School District&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, serving 15 communities across the Seward Peninsula, lost 324 (-17.3%).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;These four districts combined lost 1,422 Native students. That is 53% of the statewide Native decline, concentrated in communities where the nearest road connection to the rest of the state does not exist.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-02-ak-native-enrollment-decline-districts.png&quot; alt=&quot;Rural Native district enrollment changes, 2020-2026&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Where the students went&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The most revealing line in the data is not a decline. It is a gain. The &lt;a href=&quot;/ak/districts/anchorage&quot; class=&quot;district-link&quot;&gt;Anchorage School District&lt;sup&gt;↗&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, which lost 4,530 students overall since 2020, added 171 Native students over the same period, a 4.1% increase. Anchorage now enrolls 4,373 Native students, up from 4,202.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This rural-to-urban pattern is consistent with decades of Alaska Native migration from villages to regional hubs and Anchorage. The drivers are well documented: limited employment, high energy and food costs, deteriorating school infrastructure, and a desire for educational options unavailable in villages with single-classroom schools.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Yukon-Koyukuk School District gained 355 Native students, a 63.1% increase. But that figure is misleading as a measure of village population. Yukon-Koyukuk hosts the Raven Homeschool correspondence program, which enrolls students from across the state, and much of the district&apos;s growth reflects families choosing correspondence education rather than families moving to the Interior.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Alaska is in &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/2026/03/04/alaska-population-loss-looms-with-fewer-births-and-more-deaths-in-an-aging-population/&quot;&gt;its 13th consecutive year of net outmigration&lt;/a&gt;, the longest streak in modern state records. The state&apos;s youth population (under 19) is at its smallest since 1991, &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/2026/03/04/alaska-population-loss-looms-with-fewer-births-and-more-deaths-in-an-aging-population/&quot;&gt;projected to fall another 14% by 2050&lt;/a&gt; according to state demographers. Rural regions are disproportionately affected: the Interior is projected to lose 7% of its population, Southeast Alaska 17%.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Mt. Edgecumbe and the boarding school crisis&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The enrollment pressures facing rural Native communities converge at Mt. Edgecumbe High School in Sitka, the state-run boarding school that draws students from more than 100 villages. Enrollment fell from 431 to 388 since 2020, with 344 of this year&apos;s students identified as Native American.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The campus has been in crisis. After pandemic-era COVID funding expired, the school &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/education/2026/02/11/legislators-probe-conditions-at-state-boarding-school-where-a-quarter-of-students-have-disenrolled/&quot;&gt;faced a $1.6 million shortfall&lt;/a&gt; and proposed cutting its teaching staff by half. More than 100 students disenrolled during the 2025-26 school year, roughly a quarter of the student body. Legislators who visited the Sitka campus described the conditions as &quot;deplorable,&quot; citing rat infestations, leaky roofs, and 59 documented USDA inspection violations.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&quot;When I got there on July 1, I really doubted we could open the school.&quot;
— &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/education/2026/02/11/legislators-probe-conditions-at-state-boarding-school-where-a-quarter-of-students-have-disenrolled/&quot;&gt;Mt. Edgecumbe Superintendent David Langford, Anchorage Daily News, Feb. 2026&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Mt. Edgecumbe lost its AmeriCorps support staff after the Trump administration cut the program, eliminating three positions that managed after-school activities and student outings. A mental health provider reported eight students hospitalized for suicidal ideation in a 16-day span last November.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;For families in the Kuskokwim Delta or the North Slope, Mt. Edgecumbe has historically been the path to a high school education with a full course catalog. Its deterioration removes one more option from communities where options were already scarce.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;Structural pressures compounding&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The declining enrollment in rural Native districts feeds a cycle that is difficult to reverse. Alaska funds schools through a Base Student Allocation (BSA) of $6,660 per student. Every student lost is $6,660 less for the district. Districts serving small, remote villages already face per-pupil costs far exceeding the BSA, with heating, transportation by bush plane, and teacher housing consuming budgets.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nearly &lt;a href=&quot;https://www.kmxt.org/alaska-statewide-news/2026-03-19/why-alaska-school-districts-are-still-facing-deep-cuts-after-last-years-funding-increase&quot;&gt;80% of Alaska school districts face deficits&lt;/a&gt; this year, even after a $700 BSA increase that, once adjusted for prior one-time funding, amounted to only $20 in new money per student.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;At the federal level, the U.S. Department of Education &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/alaska-desk/2025-09-15/department-of-education-cuts-grants-for-schools-serving-high-numbers-of-alaska-native-students&quot;&gt;terminated its Alaska Native education grants program&lt;/a&gt; in September 2025, citing a legal determination that awarding grants based on racial or ethnic enrollment levels is unconstitutional. The University of Alaska Fairbanks, which operates satellite campuses in Nome, Kotzebue, Dillingham, and Bethel, expects to lose $12.9 million in Title III funding.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The combined effect: fewer students, fewer dollars, declining facilities, and the loss of targeted federal support, all hitting the same communities simultaneously.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;h2&gt;The share holds, barely&lt;/h2&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Despite losing 2,686 students, the Native share of Alaska&apos;s enrollment declined only 0.8 percentage points, from 21.8% to 21.0%. The reason is arithmetic: every other large racial group also shrank. White enrollment fell 3,360. Asian enrollment fell 1,317 (-17.8%). Black enrollment fell 737 (-21.6%). Only multiracial (+602) and Pacific Islander (+91) students posted gains.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;/ak/img/2026-03-02-ak-native-enrollment-decline-share.png&quot; alt=&quot;Native share of Alaska enrollment, 2020-2026&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Alaska&apos;s overall enrollment fell 2.5% over seven years, but the 9.2% Native decline runs nearly four times faster. If Native enrollment continues to fall at this pace while overall enrollment stabilizes, Alaska would see its Native share drop below 20% within the next decade.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Whether that happens depends on factors this data cannot measure: the pace of village outmigration, the birth rate in rural communities (which remains above the state average, at &lt;a href=&quot;https://alaskapublic.org/news/health/2025-11-19/alaska-births-continue-to-decline-but-some-health-indicators-are-positive-state-reports-say&quot;&gt;86.9 per thousand women of childbearing age in Southwest Alaska&lt;/a&gt; versus 48.5 in the Southeast), and whether correspondence programs continue drawing rural families out of brick-and-mortar village schools.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Sixteen Alaska districts still enroll student bodies that are more than 88% Native American. Together they serve 11,940 students. The question is not whether these districts will shrink. It is whether the communities they anchor can sustain a school at all when the enrollment drops below the threshold at which a village school remains viable, and what happens to a community when its school closes.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&lt;em&gt;Detailed code that reproduces the analysis and figures in this article is available exclusively to EdTribune subscribers.&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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